The power sector is fundamental to the energy outlook for Southeast Asia as the World Energy Outlook Special Report on the Energy Outlook for Southeast Asia found in 2013. The demand for power is projected to grow faster than any other final form of energy (refined oil products, electricity) calling for large investments in generation and in the transmission and distribution of this power. Electricity generation between 2011 and 2035 increases by more than the current power output of India. Coal’s relative abundance and affordability in the region boosts its share of electricity generation from less than one-third today to almost one-half in 2035, mainly at the expense of natural gas and oil. This shift is already underway: some three-quarters of the thermal capacity now under construction are coal-fired.
The challenges in meeting South East Asia’s demand in the power sector stem from the need to secure resources for generation, to invest in additional capacity and grid development, and to do so in sustainable and cost-effective ways. The ETP 2012 underlined the challenges ASEAN is facing across all sectors in reaching the ETP 2012 2⁰C Scenario (2DS), due to the dominant use of fossil fuels (particularly coal-fired generation). Sufficient financial resources and enabling governance environments are key to drive forward the development and use of reliable, sustainable and affordable power systems. The environmental implications of power generation have to be understood and managed accordingly. Efforts towards sustainable development ̶ for example through harnessing the existing hydropower potential of the Greater Mekong area ̶ could assist the decarbonisation of electricity generation by ASEAN. An interconnected power system could further enhance the development and integration of its variable renewable power generation capacity. This would enhance not only the sustainability of ASEAN’s power sector but also increase its general electricity security.
The workshop will discuss the revised outlook for the ASEAN Power Sector until 2040 by the Global Energy Economics team and the challenges to increase the integration of variable renewables into the grid and enhance multi-country grid governance and electricity exchanges.
Programme Details:
| Time
| Programme
|
| 14.00 – 14.10
| Welcome Remarks
Florian Kitt, Program Manager, Southeast Asia, Office of Global Energy Policy, IEA
|
| 14.10 – 14.30
| Presentation: The IEA’s Global Energy Investment and Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Reports
Michael Waldron, Energy Analyst, Economics and Investment Office, IEA
|
| 14.30 – 14.50
| Comment on Global Energy Investment Report
Low Kian Min, Senior Vice President, Group Business Development & Commercial of Sembcorp Industries
|
| 14.50 – 15.10
| Q&A
|
| 15.10 – 15.30
| Presentation: Re-powering Markets - the Importance of Regulation
Matthew Wittenstein, Electricity Analyst, GCP, IEA
|
| 15.30 – 15.45
| Coffee break
|
| 15.45 – 16.40
| Panel Discussion: Supporting Power Market Integration – Regional Institutions
|
| 16.40 – 17.00
| Q&A
|
Moderator: